Saturday, September 22, 2007

Barrons - 09/17/2007 notes - "A Beter Bet Than Apple"

Cover refers to Nokia (NOK) - better margins, products, cheaper, etc. But poor presence in the US contributes to it not being that loved

Health care stocks might be a good value. I already trade options on HNT, but here are a few other possibilities:
  • CI - Cigna
  • HUM - Humana
  • MOH - Molina
Other stocks mentioned
  • John Deere (DE, $147) - good corn crop
  • Altria (MO, $70) - Int'l spin off sounds good. Will keep a 5%+ yield.
Put selling
  • Goldman's people like selling puts on T, JNJ, PEP
  • This week, big bull spread on MS - bought 6,000 Jan 65 calls and sold 12,000 Jan 70 calls
Speaking of Dividends:
  • McDonalds (MCD, $55)
    • boosted it to about 2.7%
  • Paccar (PCAR, $90) -
    • dividend has grown 20% annually over past 10 years
    • stock has split 5x since 1997
    • 13 special dividends since mid 1990 (last was $2/share in January)
  • Zenith National Insurance (ZNT, $45)
    • yielding 4.5%, 2nd boost this year
    • 7th hike in 3.5 years
Where is Oil Headed? Contrarian say $45
  • Mike Rothman ISI group
  • What happens when hedge funds unwind all at once
  • Demand growth is slower than we think
  • Saudis can supply a lot more than we think (3 big fields coming online)
    • Khursaniyah - Q3 2007
    • Nuayyim - 2008
    • Khurais - 2009

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