Monday, March 19, 2007

More Puts and Calls stuff for April 07

Sell Puts on the following:

- BNI
- CLF
- COP
- CX
- DWSN
- FTO
- HOC
- OXY (maybe)
- SUN
- SWN
- VLO
- XTO


Sell Calls on the following:
- PTEN (?)

Options Expiration (04/2007) - DOW puts and calls

Sell puts on the following
- AA
- BA
- DD
- HON
- HPQ (maybe)
- MCD
- MO
- T
- VZ
- XOM

Sell calls on the following:
- AIG
- AXP
- C (maybe)
- DIS (maybe)
- GE (maybe)
- JNJ
- GM
- HD
- MRK (maybe)
- MSFT (maybe)
- WMT

Southland BBQ Restaurants

AAA - Sept/October 2005

Valleys
- Pasadena - Robin's Wood Fire BBQ and Grill - 626.351.8885 (395 Rosemead)

909
- Upland - Buckboard BBQ and Grill - 909.608.7393

LA
- Venice - Baby Blues BBQ - 310.396.7675 (444 Lincoln Blvd)

Ventura
- Ventura - Cooke's Smokehouse - 805.652.1446 (1751 E Main St)

OC
- Cypress - Mike's BBQ - 714.799.6222

San Diego - North Park

Same area as the Breakfast Place (mama's?)

Ray at Night - jazz, poetry
Red Fox Steak House
Burlingame and Shirley Ann Place Historic Districts
Other stuff

Ethnic Food in LA

AAA Magazine - March/April 2006

Little Ethiopia (South of The Grove)
- Yedoro wat - stew of chicken, eggs, spices
- Restaurants
- Rosalinds
- Nyala
- Messob Ethiopian

Little India (605/91)

Little Italy (San Diego - West of Balboa Park and 5)

Olvera Street (downtown)

Secret California - Shasta

Sunset Magazine - 06/2006

Sights:
- Burney Falls (62 miles NE of Redding)
- Lassen Volcanic NP
- Lva Beds National Monument

Travel Recommendations - Blueberries and more

Sunset - 08/2006

BC Blueberries -

  • Vancouver's Granville market starting in August (1 lb for $2-$3)
  • Blue Valley Farms

Uncrowded National Parks -
  • Black Canyon of the Gunnison
  • Channel Islands
  • North Cascades (Newhalem Creek campground)
  • Redwood NP

Waterfalls to visit

  • Santa Paula Canyon Falls (Punch Bowls) - swimming (Ventura/Ojai)
  • Whiskeytown Falls - Shasta/Redding; Whiskeytown National Rec Area

Night Hiking

From LA Times (date unknown)

- Griffith Park - 7 pm T, W, Th
- Santa Monica Mountains - 7 pm T
- Topanga Canyon in Woodland Hills
- Palisades (Los Liones Dr and Sunset) - Parker Mesa Overlook (http://www.localhikes.com/Hikes/ParkerMesa_4472.asp)

- Others - Signal Hill, Irvine, Puente/Whittier

03/17/2007 Griffith Park Trip

Eugenia bought two tickets to check out the newly reopened Planetarium.

- Good article in LA Times 11/02/2006 Calendar Weekend Section on Griffith Park Observatory
- Next time, also check out www.laas.org for night star parties
- Check out Gottlieb Transit Corridor (calendar)
- Also, check out the composting organization at Griffith Park (4th Saturday of each month 10 AM to 12 PM))
- Schedule here:

http://www.lacity.org/san/solid_resources/recycling/composting/bin_sales_events.htm

01/13/2006 - Navellier Foreign Stocks

CIB - Bancolumbia
AMX - America Movil
GGB - Gerdau Steel (Brazil)
CX - Cemex
BBD - Banco Bradesero
SQM - Sociedad Quimica Y Minera
KB - Kookmin Bank

01/08/2006 Kiplinger Notes (con't)

11/2005 and 12/2005 Issues of Kiplingers

Funds
- Natural Resource Funds
- T Rowe Price New Era Fund (PRNEX)
- FUNDX (based on no-load fund-x)

Books

- Trade Like a Hedge Fund - James Altucher
- Trend Trading to Win
- The Undercover Economist (Tim Harford)

Website
- Leading Economic Indicators
- www.martincapital.com

Stocks

BNI, CSX, CP, Norfolk Southern, Union Pacific
Allscripts (competitive with Medrule?)
Saifun (11/12/2005 Economist) - Israeli Compact Flash Memory Company

Q: Are airlines coming back? Seem to be many articles on it

01/08/2006 Kiplinger Notes

10/2005 Issue

Funds

- FSCOX - Fido Int'l Small Cap Oppty (mainly developed markets)
- WBENZ - William Blair (BIEMX)
- Int'l growth is closed but emerging markets is new
- 40% asia, 30% Latin, 30% eastern europe/africa

emerging market debt
- PEMDX (Pimco Emerging Mkts Bonds)
- TGEIX (TCW Galileo Emerging)
- less volatility
- Closed end funds (ESD - saloman bros, EFL, more conservative)

stocks
- generic drugs - TEVA
- iron ore pellets - CLF

12/28/2005 - Selling puts

some thoughts on selling puts

if SP = strike
P = today's price

Figure of Merit

1a.

~ safety margin
~ yield
~ 1/duration
~[(sp-p)/p][premium/P][1/duration]

where are we on 1-yr high /low?

BP = buy price

???
BP = L + 0.25*(H-L)

12/28/2005 - Notes from "Little Book"

Little Book that Beats the Market

-Good companies (ROIC) at Good prices (E/EV)
- magicformulainvesting.com

- ROIC ~ EBIT/(WC + Fixed Assets)
- Yield ~ EBIT(Market Cap + Debt)

i.e. 2 companies, both with EBIT = $10. A has no debt, B has $50 debt. Price/share = $30.

Yield A = $10/$30 = 1/3
Yield B = $10/($30 + $50) = $1/8

Company A is "cheaper" even at the same "price" and same "earnings" because Company A did not require debt to achieve this.

12/27/2005 Notes

Money Market Resources
- www.ici.org
- www.imoneynet.com
- www.morningstar.com
- www.bankrate.com
- www.imoney.net

12/23/2005 Notes

Barrons (12/19/2005 Issue)

- Book: Little Book That Beats the Market

- Gazprom removing foreign ownership limits
- AIG - value play?; clean, new leadership, asia growth
- BA - growth in asia, dividend hike; should we sell puts on BA?

- Sandra Wood of Westwood Holdings Group
- visionary - early into aapl, reits, energy
- likes developing markets, transportation, infrastructure
- tankers - OSG and DHT
- engines - CMI and ETN

- MON and PFE
- raised dividend
- sell puts?
- COX-2 problem?

12/03/2005 Notes

Latin stocks
- BBD
- AMX
- GOL
- ERJ (Embraer)
- CX

Other stocks
- Dawson Geophysical (Gems 12/2005)
- Cheniere (LNG) - BW 10/17/2005
- McDermott (MDR) - BW 10/17/2005
- Hydril (HYDL) - Navellier
- Canadian National Railway - CNI

Research Article by Lundholm at Michigan about earnings surprises relative to stock movement

11/08/2005 - AAII Mtg

Centinela Hospital
Sundance Resources

Barnett Shale
Working Interest

Further notes:

11/30/2005

Five States - Jim Gibb

1. Rules of thumb -
- 1000 days production at 1 day's rate
- 1/2 of the total will be pumped by the end of Yr 2 or 3

2. Reserves - 0.7 - 1.2 BCF/well
- if 1 BCF at $8 gas, $2M investment
- $8M top line
- $6M after royalties, etc.
- $3.6M total on a $2M investment
- simple calculation might be 80% * NRI = take-home

11/23/2005

Costs
- Lease of $10/acre to $500/acre
- Royalty of 12.5-30%
- Total return of 2:1

12/01/2005

Some more notes from Brian Humphrey

Investment Notes from 11/01/2005

11/01/2005 (notebook)

Personal Finance Recommendations:

1. RCS - Pimco Strategic Global Gov't
2. ERF - Enerplus
3. Mid America Apartments (REIT)
4. Canadian Apartment Properties (CAR-U)
5. Tankers - Knightsbridge and General Maritime
6. Foreign Closed End Funds
a. BZF (Brazil)
b. CEE (Central Europe/Russia)

Misc Stocks
1. JOE - St Joe (also a major TAREX Holding)
2. BRO - Brown and Brown (insurance)
3. T. Rowe Price New Era Fund (PRNEX)
4. Coal stocks - CNX (Consol) and BTU (Peabody)

Wednesday, March 14, 2007

Kalesa Grill

- Filipino food recommended by Jocelyn
- Near corner of Woodman and Roscoe
- Across from a Kaiser
- hole in the wall

Tuesday, March 13, 2007

Online Universities

February 2007
WSJ

Universities are offering on-line video of popular lectures

MIT - Intro to Modeling and Simulation, Walter Lewin's Physics I, II, III (ocw.mit.edu)
Stanford - Modern Theoretical Physics
Berkeley

David Rattray - Zulu Wars expert

February 10, 2007
Economist

Author/Expert on Anglo-Zulu wars

Travel tips

January/February 2007
Business 2.0

www.flightstats.com - real time arrival/departure info
www.expertflier.com - $5/month for up-to-date inventory on first class seats

No Wrinkle Shirt

Jan/Feb 2007

Business 2.0

Brooks Brothers non-iron dress shirt - $74-$118

BAM

February 26, 2007 Barrons

Article on BAM (Brookfield Asset Management). Specialty finance ($28B), property ($26B), timber, power transmission, hydro power.

POT

November 6, 2006
Barrons

POT (133) - fertilizer (profit from corn and beef demand). Digs it out of ground (deposits from former seas evaporating - Saskatchewan)

Only company with spare capacity (75% of world's excess capacity), 17% of world's supply

Competitors - AGU, MOS
Ownership stakes in Arab Potash, SQM, Israel Chemicals and Sinofert

Expected earnings, $5.35, $6.90, $7.60 in 06, 07, 08

CEG - Barrons 03/09/2007

In the March 9 Barrons, there was an article on CEG (Constellation Energy). Could gain 20%

Leimert Park - BBQ and Soul Food

September/October 2005
AAA Magazine

Philips BBQ -
4307 Leimert Blvd
323.292.7613

M&M Soul Food -
4317 Degman Blvd
323.298.989